Autores
Alan Cibils, R Lo Vuolo
Fecha de publicación
2005
Revista
Centro Interdisciplinario para el Estudio de Políticas Públicas, Buenos Aires
Descripción
This paper examines Argentina’s December 2001 debt default and the explosive debt accumulation process that led up to it. The orthodox explanation of runaway fiscal spending as a reason for Argentina’s debt build-up is examined and found wanting. Rather, Argentina’s debt accumulation process was the direct result of: i) Washington Consensus policies promoted by the International Financial Institutions and enthusiastically implemented by local officials, and ii) a series of exogenous shocks that resulted in skyrocketing debt service payments. Argentina’s debt restructuring process formally ended the default, resulting in an overall reduction of interest rates, a substantial capital reduction, and considerably longer debt maturity. However, Argentina’s debt service schedule is such that it will continue to be the dominating factor in macroeconomic policy-making for many years. Furthermore, it will likely involve new debt-refinancing agreement with the IMF, which could mean renewed IMF supervision of economic policy-making, with the well known and costly results. The paper concludes with some lessons that can be drawn from the Argentine experience: 1) default can be a viable option; 2) it is easier to default on foreign borrowers than on domestic borrowers; 3) any debt restructuring process should give priority to debt sustainability based on a growing economy with a strong internal market rather than to pleasing financial markets; 4) a return to international capital markets is not a sign of success; 5) ending financial stop-and-go cycles and debt-led capital accumulation should become a priority; 6) debt restructuring should be an opportunity to …
Citas totales
2006200720082009201020112012114222
Artículos de Google Académico
A Cibils, R Lo Vuolo - Centro Interdisciplinario para el Estudio de Políticas …, 2005