Autores
Lawrence Blume, Adam Brandenburger, Eddie Dekel
Fecha de publicación
1991/1/1
Revista
Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society
Páginas
61-79
Editor
Econometric Society
Descripción
Two properties of preferences and representations for choice under uncertainty which play an important role in decision theory are: (i) admissibility, the requirement that weakly dominated actions should not be chosen; and (ii) the existence of well defined conditional probabilities, that is, given any event a conditional probability which is concentrated on that event and which corresponds to the individual's preferences. The conventional Bayesian theory of choice under uncertainty, subjective expected utility (SEU) theory, fails to satisfy these properties--weakly dominated acts may be chosen, and the usual definition of conditional probabilities applies only to non-null events. This paper develops a non-Archimedean variant of SEU where decision makers have lexicographic beliefs; that is, there are (first-order) likely events as well as (higher-order) events which are infinitely less likely but not necessarily impossible …
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Artículos de Google Académico
L Blume, A Brandenburger, E Dekel - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1991