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6. 2 The Two-Sample Capture-Recapture Problem................................ 231 6. 3 Conditional Maximum Likelihood Estimation of N...................... 236 6. 4 The Three-Sample Census.............................................................. 237 6. 5 The General Multiple Recapture Problem...................................... 246 6. 6 Discussion...................................................................................... 254 7 MODELS FOR MEASURING CHANGE.......................................... 257 7. 1 Introduction................................................................................... 257 7. 2 First-Order Markov Models........................................................... 261 7. 3 Higher-Order Markov Models........................................................ 267 7. 4 Markov Models with a Single Sequence of Transitions.................. 270 7. 5 Other Models................................................................................. 273 8 ANALYSIS OF SQUARE TABLES: SYMMETRY AND MARGINAL HOMOGENEITY.......................................................... 281 8. 1 Introduction................................................................................... 281 8. 2 Two-Dimensional Tables................................................................ 282 8. 3 Three-Dimensional Tables.............................................................. 299 8. 4 Summary........................................................................................ 309 9 MODEL SELECTION AND ASSESSING CLOSENESS OF FIT: PRACTICAL ASPECTS......................................................... 311 9. 1 Introduction................................................................................... 311 9. 2 Simplicity in Model Building.......................................................... 312 9. 3 Searching for Sampling Models...................................................... 315 9. 4 Fitting and Testing Using the Same Data....................................... 317 9. 5 Too Good a Fit.............................................................................. 324 9. 6 Large Sample Sizes …